Liga MX Finals Cl. Quarter-finals
Global 2-4
Pumas UNAM vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
26.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2024 |
PAC
0 - 0
PUM
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
QRO
1 - 1
PUM
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
PUM
2 - 1
AME
37%
25%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
PUM
1 - 0
LEO
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
MAZ
0 - 4
PUM
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
TOL
0 - 1
CAZ
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 2
ATS
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
CAZ
33%
26%
41%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAZ
2 - 1
MON
37%
27%
36%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
PUM
0 - 0
CAZ
46%
26%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |