Pumas Morelos vs Leones Negros analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
IRA
2 - 1
PUM
42%
27%
31%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
NEC
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 81 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
DOR
3 - 2
PUM
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
PUM
2 - 2
ATL
65%
21%
14%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CAZ
1 - 1
PUM
38%
28%
34%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Leones Negros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
LOB
1 - 2
UDG
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 1
DUR
43%
27%
30%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
GUE
0 - 1
UDG
36%
28%
37%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
1 - 2
VER
27%
26%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2009 |
UDG
0 - 1
TIJ
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |