Pumas Morelos vs Toros Neza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.1%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
35.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
MER
1 - 1
PUM
52%
27%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
1 - 1
EST
28%
26%
45%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2013 |
PUM
3 - 0
IRA
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
UDG
3 - 0
PUM
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 0
CAF
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Toros Neza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 0
IRA
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 1
NEC
46%
24%
30%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
UDG
1 - 0
TOR
35%
29%
36%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2013 |
NEC
3 - 0
TOR
54%
23%
23%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ALT
1 - 3
TOR
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +2 |