Pumas Morelos vs Necaxa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.4%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
44.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
LEO
3 - 0
PUM
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
DOR
2 - 0
PUM
50%
26%
25%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 1
ALT
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
PUM
45%
26%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 1
TOR
34%
27%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Necaxa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
UDG
67%
22%
12%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
LOB
1 - 2
NEC
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NEC
0 - 2
TOR
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 0
UAT
57%
25%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NEC
1 - 1
LEO
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |