Pumas Morelos vs Cruz Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28%
32.8%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pumas Morelos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VER
1 - 0
PUM
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 0
REB
37%
28%
36%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
TOR
2 - 1
PUM
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
PUM
2 - 2
NEC
25%
27%
48%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
PUM
1 - 1
DOR
29%
27%
44%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Cruz Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CAZ
3 - 0
IRA
31%
27%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UDG
0 - 1
CAZ
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
CAF
0 - 1
CAZ
57%
24%
18%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAZ
1 - 3
LOB
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
CAZ
0 - 0
EST
20%
24%
56%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | 0 |