Ascenso Apertura Final
Global 3-2
Jacó FC vs Guanacasteca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
26.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jacó FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
JFC
35%
26%
39%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
GRE
1 - 2
JFC
28%
26%
47%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
JFC
1 - 0
GRE
66%
20%
15%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 1
JFC
52%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2015 |
JFC
2 - 2
SAN
36%
25%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guanacasteca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
JFC
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
ADR
0 - 0
GUA
52%
22%
26%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
2 - 1
ADR
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
OSA
2 - 2
GUA
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
GUA
1 - 0
OSA
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |