Penang FC vs Negeri Sembilan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
29.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
5º
11º
11º
5
10º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
28 | 32 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
22 | 25 |
2º
|
95% | |
|
3º
|
16 | 20 |
3º
|
77.5% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 18 |
4º
|
34.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 17 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 17 |
6º
|
15.5% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 15 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 15 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
14 | 15 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 15 |
10º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
11 | 12 |
11º
|
62.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
5 | 8 |
12º
|
91.5% | |
|
13º
|
3 | 4 |
13º
|
91.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
AFC Champions League Elite
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Penang FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2024 |
JOH
5 - 0
PUL
80%
13%
7%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
KFA
2 - 2
PUL
47%
26%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2024 |
PUL
3 - 0
MPK
63%
20%
17%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
SEL
4 - 1
PUL
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PER
0 - 2
PUL
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Negeri Sembilan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NEG
0 - 1
PER
57%
21%
21%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
KED
2 - 2
NEG
66%
20%
14%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
NEG
1 - 2
PDR
46%
24%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
TER
3 - 2
NEG
65%
21%
14%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2024 |
SAB
2 - 0
NEG
68%
19%
13%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | -1 |