Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 2-5
Puertollano vs Valencia Mestalla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
16.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
RAY
1 - 0
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
PUE
2 - 2
MAL
40%
28%
32%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
CCF
3 - 0
PUE
63%
23%
14%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 1970 |
OSA
0 - 0
PUE
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1970 |
PUE
3 - 3
VAD
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia Mestalla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1970 |
VAL
1 - 0
LAP
87%
10%
4%
|
56 | 20 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1970 |
TCF
0 - 3
VAL
20%
27%
53%
|
56 | 22 | 34 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1970 |
DEP
1 - 2
VAL
19%
22%
59%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1970 |
VAL
4 - 1
ADC
85%
10%
4%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1970 |
VAL
2 - 1
DEP
89%
8%
3%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |