Puertollano vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.9%
21.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
PUE
3 - 1
ECI
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
AGD
1 - 2
PUE
54%
27%
20%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
PUE
1 - 1
CDL
34%
28%
38%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
MEL
1 - 2
PUE
59%
24%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
23%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LUC
1 - 1
AGD
32%
30%
38%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
CDL
0 - 2
LUC
61%
23%
16%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
LUC
2 - 0
MEL
29%
29%
42%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2008 |
SFE
4 - 0
LUC
38%
28%
34%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2008 |
PUE
0 - 0
LUC
52%
25%
23%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |