Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-4
Puertollano vs Hércules analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
OBE
0 - 1
PUE
29%
31%
41%
|
51 | 33 | 18 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
PUE
3 - 1
RUN
75%
17%
8%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
HER
4 - 0
PUE
65%
19%
16%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
PUE
1 - 2
RSO
71%
18%
11%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
EIB
7 - 0
PUE
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 39 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Hércules
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 1972 |
CAD
4 - 0
HER
45%
30%
25%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 1972 |
HER
1 - 0
VAD
52%
26%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 1972 |
HER
4 - 0
PUE
65%
19%
16%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 1972 |
HER
0 - 0
LOG
51%
27%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
VIL
1 - 1
HER
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |