Puertollano vs Ilicitano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.4%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
BUR
1 - 0
PUE
49%
27%
25%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
PUE
0 - 1
CEL
36%
29%
35%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
SEV
2 - 0
PUE
73%
18%
9%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
PUE
1 - 1
SPO
47%
26%
28%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
MLL
3 - 0
PUE
63%
23%
15%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ilicitano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1968 |
ELC
3 - 2
ALC
45%
25%
30%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1968 |
SDI
1 - 0
ELC
74%
15%
11%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
ELC
1 - 1
VAL
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 1968 |
VAD
2 - 1
ELC
80%
14%
6%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 1968 |
ELC
1 - 1
RCF
34%
24%
41%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | +2 |