Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-1
Puertollano vs Alcorcón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.7%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.4%
17.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puertollano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1977 |
REC
0 - 0
PUE
64%
23%
13%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
PUE
1 - 1
CDT
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
0 - 0
PUE
56%
21%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1977 |
MUR
1 - 1
PUE
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
PUE
2 - 4
MAL
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Alcorcón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
0 - 1
ZAM
82%
12%
7%
|
50 | 35 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1977 |
ALB
3 - 1
ALC
32%
25%
43%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
0 - 0
PUE
56%
21%
23%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1977 |
ALC
2 - 0
PLA
87%
9%
4%
|
51 | 31 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1977 |
ARG
4 - 1
ALC
28%
24%
48%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |