WC Qual. CONCACAF Caribe 1ra Ronda Final
Global 4-6
Puerto Rico vs Aruba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
10.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Rico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
ABW
4 - 2
PRI
37%
23%
41%
|
51 | 39 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1998 |
DOM
3 - 1
PRI
61%
20%
19%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1998 |
PRI
0 - 4
HTI
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 74 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1996 |
VCT
7 - 0
PRI
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 32 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1996 |
PRI
1 - 2
VCT
82%
12%
7%
|
52 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Aruba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
ABW
4 - 2
PRI
37%
23%
41%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1998 |
ABW
2 - 2
SUR
41%
24%
36%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +3 |
| 05 Mar. 1998 |
ABW
0 - 1
ANT
13%
21%
66%
|
37 | 68 | 31 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 1996 |
ABW
1 - 3
DOM
29%
24%
48%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1996 |
DOM
3 - 2
ABW
75%
15%
10%
|
36 | 59 | 23 | 0 |