CONCACAF Champions Cup Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Puerto Rico Islanders vs CD Marathón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.2%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Rico Islanders
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2008 |
TAU
2 - 2
PRI
63%
20%
16%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
PRI
0 - 1
MUN
59%
22%
19%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2008 |
VAN
2 - 1
PRI
40%
29%
31%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2008 |
SAN
3 - 0
PRI
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2008 |
PRI
2 - 0
ROC
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
CD Marathón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2009 |
MOT
0 - 1
MAR
35%
27%
38%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 1
RJU
70%
20%
10%
|
74 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
PLA
67%
21%
13%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
MAR
3 - 0
COM
62%
23%
16%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2009 |
OLI
2 - 2
MAR
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |