Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-2
Puerto Real CF vs Recreativo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.1%
29.4%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.4%
43.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
MOT
1 - 2
ARC
59%
26%
16%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
ARC
1 - 2
MEL
54%
26%
21%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
VIL
2 - 2
ARC
41%
25%
35%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ARC
4 - 3
ILI
60%
25%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
EXT
2 - 2
ARC
66%
22%
12%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Recreativo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 1978 |
REC
0 - 0
RAY
54%
24%
22%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1978 |
RSO
2 - 3
REC
78%
15%
7%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
REC
3 - 0
ZAR
45%
26%
29%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAS
0 - 0
REC
49%
29%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
REC
3 - 1
GDE
65%
22%
13%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |