Puerto Real CF vs CD Alcalá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Real CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
REC
4 - 1
ARC
58%
23%
20%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
ARC
2 - 1
SAN
16%
23%
62%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | +3 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CAD
2 - 1
ARC
64%
21%
15%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ARC
2 - 4
CON
37%
26%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 0
ARC
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CD Alcalá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2012 |
ALC
1 - 1
POZ
55%
25%
21%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
ROC
2 - 1
ALC
17%
22%
61%
|
38 | 20 | 18 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 0
JER
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
MAI
2 - 2
ALC
42%
26%
32%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
ALC
3 - 1
AYA
71%
19%
11%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |