Puerto Nuevo vs Arg. Rosario analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Nuevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 2
PUE
45%
25%
30%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
PUE
1 - 2
YUP
55%
23%
22%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2016 |
JUU
2 - 2
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 0
ARR
61%
22%
18%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | +2 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CES
0 - 4
PUE
9%
18%
74%
|
24 | 11 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arg. Rosario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 0
CBA
47%
25%
28%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
DPA
1 - 3
ARR
66%
21%
14%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 1
MUÑ
43%
26%
31%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2015 |
PUE
3 - 0
ARR
61%
22%
18%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
SBA
23%
25%
53%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | +1 |