Puerto Montt vs U. Católica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.9%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
60.6%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.8%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2010 |
LOT
2 - 1
PUE
37%
28%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
PUE
1 - 0
CDP
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
NTA
0 - 0
PUE
28%
28%
44%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
PUE
0 - 0
UNI
53%
25%
22%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
CON
1 - 3
PUE
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
U. Católica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
CSL
3 - 1
UCO
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 1
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 2
UCO
33%
26%
41%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2010 |
PAL
0 - 1
UCO
31%
27%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
UCO
4 - 1
OHI
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |