Copa Chile 1/16
Global 3-4
Puerto Montt vs Unión Española analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
57.1%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
VAL
1 - 3
PUE
27%
24%
48%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2021 |
PUE
1 - 0
DEP
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
CSD
0 - 0
PUE
43%
27%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2021 |
PUE
2 - 2
UCO
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2021 |
BAR
0 - 1
PUE
43%
26%
32%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Unión Española
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
ANT
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2021 |
CUR
1 - 2
UNI
28%
26%
47%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 2
UCO
32%
26%
42%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
OHI
1 - 4
UNI
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
UNI
1 - 1
ACS
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |