Puerto Montt vs San Marcos Arica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.6%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
8º
16º
16º
40
9º
16º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
|
10º
|
40 | 40 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
34 | 34 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
33 | 33 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
0% | |
|
|
16º
|
30 | 30 |
16º
|
0% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 2
PUE
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
CSD
3 - 1
PUE
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DLS
1 - 2
PUE
63%
22%
15%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 0
PUE
53%
26%
22%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
PUE
2 - 1
DER
32%
27%
40%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
San Marcos Arica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
SWA
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 1
SAN
41%
27%
32%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 2
DEP
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DLS
1 - 1
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
SAN
2 - 1
CSD
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |