Copa Chile Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Puerto Montt vs Ñublense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.7%
66.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
GVE
5 - 1
PUE
31%
28%
41%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
HUA
1 - 0
PUE
69%
19%
12%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
TRA
60%
24%
17%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2024 |
PUE
5 - 1
HUA
11%
18%
70%
|
58 | 76 | 18 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
SAU
1 - 0
PUE
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Ñublense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OHI
1 - 3
NUB
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
NUB
2 - 0
IQU
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NUB
0 - 1
ULC
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
COB
0 - 1
NUB
30%
28%
42%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
NUB
1 - 0
CSL
43%
26%
32%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |