Puerto Montt vs Lautaro de Buin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
22.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
4º
3º
27
4º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 42 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 36 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 33 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
CDP
0 - 0
PUE
29%
27%
45%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 2
CDM
26%
26%
48%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
PUE
33%
26%
41%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 1
DLI
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
PUE
36%
28%
36%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lautaro de Buin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 0
GVE
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
1 - 2
CDP
47%
24%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 0
LAU
41%
26%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
LAU
3 - 2
REN
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
DLI
0 - 1
LAU
51%
25%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |