Puerto Montt vs General Velásquez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
31.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
4º
3º
33
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 3
PUE
23%
27%
50%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
SAU
47%
27%
26%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
LAU
2 - 1
PUE
32%
27%
41%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 0
CDP
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
General Velásquez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
GVE
2 - 1
CON
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
CDS
2 - 1
GVE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
FVC
1 - 1
GVE
35%
28%
37%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
GVE
6 - 2
LAU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
DLI
0 - 2
GVE
30%
27%
42%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |