Puerto Montt vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
25.3%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
4º
3º
32
2º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 1
PUE
55%
26%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 3
REN
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
DLI
1 - 1
PUE
26%
27%
47%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 1
CON
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
CDS
0 - 3
PUE
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
LAU
41%
27%
32%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 2
CDP
41%
27%
33%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
CDP
2 - 1
CDS
55%
24%
21%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
OVA
4 - 2
CDP
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2024 |
CDP
1 - 0
FVC
38%
28%
33%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |