Puerto Montt vs CD Provincial Osorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
17.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
DEP
1 - 2
PUE
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2023 |
UCO
2 - 0
PUE
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 1
USF
36%
28%
36%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
BAR
2 - 1
PUE
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
PUE
1 - 4
ANT
23%
27%
50%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
CD Provincial Osorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 0
CDP
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 1
SAU
34%
26%
40%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CDP
2 - 2
DLI
49%
26%
25%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CDM
2 - 2
CDP
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
CDP
0 - 0
GVE
30%
26%
44%
|
45 | 50 | 5 | 0 |