Puerto Montt vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
48.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
42
2º
4º
3º
48
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
48 | 55 |
1º
|
57% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 54 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
|
3º
|
42 | 46 |
3º
|
95% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 39 |
4º
|
61.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
5º
|
25% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 37 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 36 |
7º
|
44% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 31 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 30 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 28 |
11º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 28 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 27 |
13º
|
33.5% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 22 |
14º
|
85.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 57% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 43% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
REN
0 - 1
PUE
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 1
DLI
49%
27%
24%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CON
1 - 0
PUE
36%
28%
36%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 1
CDS
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
JOA
2 - 2
PUE
29%
26%
46%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
0 - 0
JOA
70%
20%
10%
|
62 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
FVC
0 - 2
CDM
18%
24%
58%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 0
GVE
57%
25%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SAU
3 - 4
CDM
25%
25%
50%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
CDM
1 - 1
DLI
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |