Puerto Montt vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.6%
24%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
DSC
2 - 0
PUE
39%
28%
34%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
MAG
59%
24%
18%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
DEP
0 - 1
PUE
43%
28%
29%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
PUE
1 - 1
COB
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
USF
2 - 1
PUE
37%
29%
34%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
CDM
0 - 2
USF
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CDM
2 - 2
DSC
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
MAG
1 - 2
CDM
37%
28%
35%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
CDM
2 - 0
VAL
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
COB
0 - 1
CDM
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | +1 |