Puerto Montt vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
25.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
MAG
1 - 1
PUE
50%
26%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
PUE
2 - 0
DCO
45%
27%
28%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2018 |
COB
2 - 1
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
PUE
1 - 0
BAR
40%
28%
32%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
NUB
2 - 1
PUE
40%
28%
33%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
CDM
4 - 1
NUB
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
CSL
3 - 3
CDM
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
CDM
1 - 0
USF
41%
28%
32%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2018 |
CSD
0 - 1
CDM
52%
26%
23%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
SWA
1 - 0
CDM
68%
21%
12%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | 0 |