Puerto Montt vs CD Melipilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+69%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto Montt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 2
PUE
35%
29%
36%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
DMQ
0 - 1
PUE
31%
27%
42%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
PUE
0 - 1
PIN
48%
27%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
0 - 1
PUE
47%
26%
28%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
PUE
2 - 0
DMQ
58%
23%
20%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
CD Melipilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
CDM
0 - 0
PIN
41%
25%
35%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
TRA
0 - 0
CDM
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
CDM
1 - 0
DMQ
51%
22%
26%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
MAL
3 - 5
CDM
56%
23%
22%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CDM
0 - 2
TRA
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |