Puerto de Motril vs Ciudad de Baza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.1%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerto de Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
PMO
42%
23%
35%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
PMO
2 - 2
VAN
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ALF
0 - 1
PMO
74%
15%
11%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
CAZ
5 - 1
PMO
32%
23%
45%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | -2 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
PMO
2 - 0
CAZ
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Ciudad de Baza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
CIU
0 - 3
SAN
10%
17%
73%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CIU
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
CIU
0 - 1
GUA
22%
21%
56%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GUA
4 - 2
CIU
57%
21%
22%
|
10 | 11 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
CIU
5 - 1
MON
50%
22%
28%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |