Puerta Bonita vs CD Lugo Fuenlabrada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.4%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
16.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerta Bonita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
CDM
3 - 1
PBO
58%
21%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
POZ
3 - 2
PBO
58%
23%
19%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
PBO
1 - 3
ADP
31%
26%
43%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SFN
3 - 1
PBO
40%
27%
34%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PBO
1 - 1
INT
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Lugo Fuenlabrada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 1
POZ
20%
25%
55%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
ADP
0 - 1
LUG
70%
20%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
SFN
2 - 0
LUG
66%
21%
13%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
INT
0 - 1
LUG
77%
16%
7%
|
20 | 37 | 17 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
LUG
0 - 1
COL
42%
26%
32%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |