Puerta Bonita vs Bilbao Ath. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.6%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.1%
51.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerta Bonita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
SAR
2 - 2
PBO
35%
28%
37%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
PBO
3 - 1
CDT
23%
26%
51%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
LPA
1 - 0
PBO
72%
18%
11%
|
39 | 51 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
PBO
1 - 1
TUD
25%
25%
50%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
PBO
1 - 1
PNT
59%
23%
18%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bilbao Ath.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ATH
2 - 0
FUE
60%
22%
18%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
SDA
2 - 1
ATH
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ATH
1 - 1
RUN
63%
21%
16%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
ATH
2 - 0
BAR
61%
23%
17%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 1
ATH
16%
25%
59%
|
56 | 37 | 19 | 0 |