Tercera Playoffs Galicia Quarter-finals
Global 1-0
Puerta Bonita vs San Juan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
9.5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puerta Bonita
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ASJ
0 - 0
PBO
20%
24%
56%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
PBO
4 - 3
COL
59%
21%
20%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
PNT
0 - 1
PBO
22%
24%
54%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
PBO
0 - 0
ATM
70%
18%
12%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
VLO
2 - 3
PBO
15%
23%
62%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
San Juan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2013 |
ASJ
0 - 0
PBO
20%
24%
56%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
REC
2 - 2
ASJ
57%
22%
21%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2013 |
ASJ
1 - 0
AYA
48%
24%
28%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
COR
2 - 1
ASJ
79%
14%
7%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
ASJ
0 - 1
ALG
25%
25%
50%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | 0 |