Puente Castro FC Sub 19 vs UD Santa Marta U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-52%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
7º
16º
10º
33
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 75 |
1º
|
91% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
91% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 66 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
58 | 58 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
54.5% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
54.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
9º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
75.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
33.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
19% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 31 |
14º
|
67% | |
|
15º
|
28 | 28 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 19 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puente Castro FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 1
SAL
31%
22%
47%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
REA
2 - 2
PUE
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
0 - 1
UDS
45%
24%
31%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
PUE
4 - 2
VIC
51%
21%
27%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
PON
3 - 0
PUE
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
UD Santa Marta U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
PON
1 - 1
SAN
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
4 - 0
CHA
48%
22%
29%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
BCF
4 - 1
SAN
69%
18%
14%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 3
UNI
32%
23%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SEG
0 - 3
SAN
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 8 | 4 | +1 |