Puente Castro FC Sub 19 vs Vista Alegre U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+367%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
11º
16º
11º
3
1º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
12º
|
0 | 67 |
1º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
1 | 66 |
2º
|
29.5% | |
|
13º
|
0 | 62 |
3º
|
21.5% | |
|
2º
|
3 | 47 |
4º
|
8.5% | |
|
7º
|
1 | 46 |
5º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
3 | 45 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
4º
|
3 | 41 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
11º
|
0 | 39 |
8º
|
13.5% | |
|
8º
|
1 | 37 |
9º
|
8% | |
|
9º
|
1 | 37 |
10º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 36 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
5º
|
1 | 34 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
1 | 34 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
3 | 32 |
14º
|
11% | |
|
15º
|
0 | 29 |
15º
|
15.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 24 |
16º
|
26.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
82.5% | 81.5% |
|
Relegation
|
17.5% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puente Castro FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 3
PUE
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PUE
4 - 1
REA
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 1
PUE
56%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
4 - 0
PUE
41%
22%
38%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
PON
25%
23%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Vista Alegre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
INT
0 - 4
SAN
32%
24%
45%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 1
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
INT
3 - 2
BUR
35%
23%
42%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CIA
4 - 2
INT
82%
12%
6%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
INT
2 - 1
CDP
29%
22%
49%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |