Puente Castro FC Sub 19 vs Vista Alegre U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-51%
+900%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
12º
16º
14º
26
1º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 73 |
1º
|
66% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 69 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
44.5% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 60 |
4º
|
44.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 56 |
5º
|
53% | |
|
9º
|
22 | 42 |
6º
|
30% | |
|
7º
|
24 | 41 |
7º
|
18% | |
|
|
6º
|
26 | 40 |
8º
|
18.5% | |
|
10º
|
21 | 38 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
23 | 38 |
10º
|
11.5% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 31 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
13 | 27 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 27 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
|
14º
|
14 | 26 |
14º
|
19% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 24 |
15º
|
23% | |
|
13º
|
14 | 23 |
16º
|
22.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
64.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
35.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puente Castro FC Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
SAL
2 - 3
PUE
36%
21%
43%
|
11 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
PUE
4 - 1
REA
11%
17%
72%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
UDS
1 - 1
PUE
56%
21%
24%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VIC
4 - 0
PUE
41%
22%
38%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
PUE
2 - 0
PON
25%
23%
52%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Vista Alegre U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2022 |
INT
0 - 4
SAN
32%
24%
45%
|
6 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
VIC
3 - 1
INT
47%
23%
30%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
INT
3 - 2
BUR
35%
23%
42%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
CIA
4 - 2
INT
82%
12%
6%
|
6 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
INT
2 - 1
CDP
29%
22%
49%
|
5 | 8 | 3 | +1 |