CD Puebla vs AD Hogar Alcarreño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
13.3%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
67.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+146%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
MOC
2 - 0
PUE
66%
18%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
PUE
0 - 4
MOR
22%
23%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
MAR
3 - 0
PUE
68%
18%
14%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
PUE
2 - 1
NOB
32%
24%
45%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 0
PUE
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
HAL
2 - 0
FDE
80%
13%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
CAB
2 - 2
HAL
27%
24%
49%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
HAL
1 - 1
ORG
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
CDE
1 - 4
HAL
28%
24%
48%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
MOC
1 - 0
HAL
25%
23%
52%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |