Puebla vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
37.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PUE
4 - 1
QRO
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
PUE
50%
26%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
MER
0 - 2
PUE
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 0
MON
40%
27%
33%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
TOL
1 - 0
CAZ
56%
23%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
61%
22%
17%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
VER
3 - 0
TOL
28%
28%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2015 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOL
28%
27%
45%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
TOL
2 - 2
SAN
45%
24%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |