Puebla vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
AME
5 - 4
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 0
NEC
53%
25%
22%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
QRO
2 - 1
PUE
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
ATS
48%
25%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
TIG
3 - 0
PUE
45%
28%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 1
MON
46%
26%
28%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
CAZ
1 - 0
TOL
56%
23%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
3 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2011 |
TOL
1 - 6
MOR
52%
26%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
MON
1 - 0
TOL
55%
24%
22%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | -1 |