Puebla vs Toluca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
48.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.7%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 3
PUE
69%
19%
12%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 0
QRO
59%
23%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 0
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PUE
3 - 0
PAC
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
JAG
3 - 1
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Toluca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TOL
2 - 2
NEC
60%
21%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 0
TOL
37%
27%
37%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
1 - 1
IRA
82%
12%
6%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
TOL
3 - 2
TIG
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |