Puebla vs Querétaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
18.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
MOR
1 - 0
PUE
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
PUE
3 - 0
PAC
31%
26%
43%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | +2 |
| 14 Feb. 2004 |
JAG
3 - 1
PUE
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PUE
1 - 1
ATL
33%
26%
41%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
PUE
75%
16%
10%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Querétaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
1 - 1
NEC
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2004 |
CHI
2 - 0
QRO
68%
20%
12%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
2 - 1
TOL
22%
26%
52%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 2
QRO
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
QRO
1 - 1
IRA
52%
23%
25%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |