Liga MX Finals Cl. Semi-finals
Global 3-3
Puebla vs Pumas UNAM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
23.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
MON
2 - 2
PUE
55%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
PUE
3 - 1
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 1
EST
40%
25%
35%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
CHI
0 - 0
PUE
54%
23%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PUE
0 - 2
IND
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Pumas UNAM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
PUM
3 - 0
EST
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
PUM
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PUM
3 - 0
MON
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
EST
2 - 0
PUM
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PUM
1 - 1
CHI
50%
25%
25%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |