CONCACAF Champions Cup Final
Global 4-2
Puebla vs Police FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 1988 |
AME
2 - 0
PUE
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 1988 |
PUE
2 - 1
AME
56%
21%
23%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 1953 |
TAM
3 - 0
PUE
44%
21%
36%
|
72 | 55 | 17 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 1945 |
ESP
3 - 0
PUE
19%
21%
61%
|
73 | 12 | 61 | -1 |
Matches
Police FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1991 |
POL
1 - 0
RES
31%
26%
44%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1991 |
RES
0 - 0
POL
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |