Puebla vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
22.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
TIG
0 - 1
PUE
60%
23%
17%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2015 |
PUE
2 - 1
CAZ
48%
26%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
PUE
0 - 0
VER
53%
25%
23%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
VER
2 - 1
PUE
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
VER
0 - 0
PUE
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2015 |
MOR
2 - 2
PUM
43%
26%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MON
2 - 2
MOR
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
1 - 2
CHI
51%
25%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
MOR
0 - 3
AME
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2015 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
41%
27%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |