Puebla vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
37.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
PUM
0 - 2
PUE
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 1
TIJ
54%
25%
22%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
JAG
0 - 1
PUE
51%
24%
25%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
PUE
1 - 2
ATL
46%
26%
28%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PAC
3 - 1
PUE
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
MOR
3 - 1
SAN
45%
25%
31%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 2
MOR
40%
27%
33%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
0 - 0
MON
48%
25%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
MOR
2 - 0
SNL
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
PUM
3 - 0
MOR
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |