Puebla vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.5%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
PUE
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
2 - 0
CAZ
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2011 |
SAN
4 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 1
TOL
43%
26%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
AME
5 - 4
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 3
TIG
52%
24%
23%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
MON
1 - 1
MOR
55%
24%
21%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
2 - 1
JAG
58%
24%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 3
MOR
56%
23%
20%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
MOR
1 - 3
PAC
49%
24%
27%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |