Puebla vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
44.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
PAC
0 - 2
PUE
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
PUE
4 - 1
JAG
43%
26%
31%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2003 |
PUE
1 - 1
ATS
26%
26%
49%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 0
PUE
70%
18%
13%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2003 |
PUE
1 - 1
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 3
NEC
53%
24%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
CHI
0 - 1
MOR
42%
24%
34%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 2
TOL
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
TIG
2 - 0
MOR
46%
24%
30%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2003 |
MOR
3 - 2
QRO
73%
17%
10%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |