Puebla vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
50.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2003 |
ATL
3 - 1
PUE
59%
21%
19%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2003 |
PUE
1 - 0
NEC
30%
28%
42%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
SAN
1 - 1
PUE
69%
18%
14%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2003 |
PUE
0 - 1
SNL
40%
26%
34%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2003 |
CHI
2 - 1
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 1
QRO
67%
19%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
ATS
1 - 0
MOR
42%
25%
33%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
MOR
1 - 1
TOL
51%
22%
27%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
MON
4 - 2
MOR
34%
27%
39%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2003 |
MOR
2 - 1
AUR
70%
18%
12%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |