Puebla vs CA Morelia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
25.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2001 |
PUM
2 - 2
PUE
55%
23%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2001 |
PUE
0 - 0
ATL
55%
24%
22%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2001 |
CAZ
1 - 0
PUE
73%
15%
11%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2001 |
PUE
2 - 1
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2001 |
REB
3 - 2
PUE
19%
24%
57%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
CA Morelia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2001 |
ATL
1 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2001 |
AME
2 - 0
MOR
68%
18%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2001 |
MOR
3 - 2
SAN
41%
24%
35%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2001 |
EST
3 - 0
MOR
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2001 |
CFC
3 - 1
MOR
46%
24%
31%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | -1 |