Puebla vs Chivas Guadalajara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
24.5%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
SNL
0 - 0
PUE
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
PAC
1 - 2
PUE
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 0
ATL
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2009 |
QRO
1 - 1
PUE
30%
27%
44%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
PUE
1 - 1
EST
42%
25%
32%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Chivas Guadalajara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 2
PAC
40%
25%
35%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ATL
3 - 1
CHI
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2009 |
CHI
2 - 0
QRO
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
CHI
1 - 3
TIG
57%
24%
20%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2009 |
TOL
4 - 3
CHI
52%
26%
23%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |