Puebla vs Tecos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Puebla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
TOL
4 - 3
PUE
52%
25%
23%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 0
QRO
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
CAZ
2 - 0
PUE
61%
21%
18%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
SNL
2 - 1
PUE
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PUE
1 - 2
SAN
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Tecos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
EST
5 - 2
SAN
34%
25%
41%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
CHI
5 - 2
EST
53%
25%
23%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
EST
2 - 3
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2011 |
MOR
0 - 2
EST
57%
22%
20%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
EST
1 - 2
PUM
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |